Comments on: Monday Post: What we have been reading

By: Reyfeo

Reyfeo — Sat, 28 Nov 2009 23:15:35 +0000

That’s funny, neither can Obama, I guess he qualifies…LOL!

By: Southern Cali

Southern Cali — Thu, 26 Nov 2009 03:08:04 +0000

Lou Dobbs will struggle running for the Senate. He couldn’t respond intelligently to Jon Stewart’s (host Daily Show) questions/comments last night. Without a teleprompter or a book editor he can’t construct one coherent sentence.

By: Xavier Cardenas

Xavier Cardenas — Wed, 25 Nov 2009 00:01:22 +0000

Most of the GOPers are fooled into believing that they can return to a white is right yesteryear. The reality is that they better recognize times they are a chang’in and they will be left without a seat when the music stops.

By: Stephen A. Nuño

Stephen A. Nuño — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 16:53:24 +0000

there is no “opposing” analysis per se. He makes predictions based on data and whatever qualitative measures he chooses to use as his base assumptions. His predictions tend to overplay his political and ideological commitments. That’s all. This isn’t a dig.

By: Cockroach People

Cockroach People — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 14:40:36 +0000

“I respect Silver’s prowess alot, as well as his dad’s, but he’s a Democrat at heart. Nothing wrong with that, but he tends to underplay in one direction. Again, nothing wrong with that.”

I agree about Nate’s leanings, but any opposing analysis of his numbers or your own are certainly welcome…otherwise I’ll take that statement as an argumentum ad hominem…

Yes Mr. Silver is cool too, though I haven’t read much by him except his analysis of the Patriot Act and public opinion or something to that effect.

By: stephen

stephen — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 08:57:17 +0000

oy vey

By: webmaster

webmaster — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 08:00:50 +0000

“BTW, it may be a bad idea for the GOP to nominate Rubio over Crist.”

stephen, I tend to believe this too, if one doesn’t want the GOP to take the Florida Senate seat being vacated by Mel Martinez. I don’t even think that Mel Martinez was as conservative as Rubio purports to be.

As for FL core-GOPers being “as dumb” as CA Orange County GOPers, I see similarities in both areas. Both have an influx of immigrants, some fleeing cold war hotbeds (Cuba and Vietnam (Garden Grove)), mega-churches and evangelical presence, etc.

Here is a piece from a few weeks ago arguing that Crist doesn’t deserve GOP support since he is “an enemy of life and the traditional family.”

http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/other-views/story/1330911.html

By: stephen

stephen — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 07:35:12 +0000

BTW, it may be a bad idea for the GOP to nominate Rubio over Crist. Don’t know if Palin will jump in prior to that decision, but Rubio sure seems to be playing the Hoffman card, though not as an outsider. Florida core-Republicans may be just as dumb as California Orange County Republicans by electing ideological purists who are unelectable.

By: stephen

stephen — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 07:13:00 +0000

The Palin-Obama comparison is, again, one of momentum not static.

Silver’s analysis is pre-Scozzafava’s endorsement, and, for our purposes in this discussion regarding Palin, it takes Hoffman’s candidacy as a given, though he admits underplaying the enthusiasm factor, of which Palin was a part of. I respect Silver’s prowess alot, as well as his dad’s, but he’s a Democrat at heart. Nothing wrong with that, but he tends to underplay in one direction. Again, nothing wrong with that.

By: Cockroach People

Cockroach People — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 07:09:20 +0000

Sorry for the spam…LOL

I do think stephen is right that Palin’s endorsement should not be dismissed out of hand–it could be valuable in an area that matches the Palin brand, as it were. But the question is whether Florida is like the NY-23 (not 32 BTW) in terms of moderates. In that case, Palin’s endorsement of Hoffman in a district you note is obscure may be relevant if there are enough moderates that feel unrepresented by Rubio’s rhetoric.